When is nuclear war




















Such changes might help to buffer the food shock — but only partly. Natl Acad. Article Google Scholar. Lovenduski, N. Crutzen, P. Ambio 11, — Turco, R. Science , — PubMed Article Google Scholar. Schneider, S. Nature , — Toon, O. Yu, P. Reisner, J. Robock, A. Download references. Career Column 12 NOV Research Highlight 10 NOV Article 20 OCT Article 13 OCT Article 29 SEP Yale Cancer Center.

Springer Nature. Sign up for the Nature Briefing newsletter — what matters in science, free to your inbox daily. Advanced search. Skip to main content Thank you for visiting nature. You have full access to this article via your institution.

Download PDF. References 1. Article Google Scholar 2. Article Google Scholar 3. Article Google Scholar 4. PubMed Article Google Scholar 5. Article Google Scholar 6. PubMed Article Google Scholar 7. PubMed Article Google Scholar 8. So, while this op-ed at first may seem inapplicable in the post-Cold-War world, it has many elements of long-term truth that demand our attention.

Given that a process of ending war will take decades, a long-term view is appropriate. This page can be viewed in Romanian courtesy of azoft. Hiram Maxim, the inventor of the machine gun, declared, "Only a general who was a barbarian would send his men to certain death against the concentrated power of my new gun.

In World War One, the machine gun often mowed down tens of thousands of men in a single day. Orville Wright saw a similar vision: "When my brother and I built and flew the first man-carrying flying machine, we thought we were introducing into the world an invention that would make further wars practically impossible. In firebombing raids on London, Hamburg and Tokyo the airplane wrought previously unimaginable levels of destruction.

In a single night, March 9, , 25 percent of Tokyo was destroyed, 80, people were killed, and over 1 million left homeless. History shows the folly in hoping that each new, more destructive weapon will not be used. And yet we dare to hope that this time it will be different. All in the belief that they will never be used.

But unless we make a radical shift in our thinking about war, this time will be no different. On our current path, nuclear war is inevitable.

The inevitability concept can best be understood by analogy to finance. It does not make sense to talk of an interest rate as being high or low, for example 50 percent or 1 percent, without comparing it to specific period of time. An interest rate of 50 percent per year is high.

An interest rate of 50 percent per century is low. We will head off costly arms races and re-establish our credibility as a leader in arms control.

Where possible, we will also pursue new arms control arrangements. We will take steps to reduce the role of nuclear weapons in our national security strategy, while ensuring our strategic deterrent remains safe, secure, and effective and that our extended deterrence commitments to our allies remain strong and credible. But even some simple changes from past practice remain to be accomplished. For now, at least , the Biden Administration is still adhering to the Trump policy of classifying the size of the US nuclear stockpile rather than following the Obama policy of disclosing it.

Learn more about our work in national security, science, tech, and innovation policy.



0コメント

  • 1000 / 1000